Wednesday, June 08, 2011

Housing Shortage Is Likely Coming, Report Says

Within the next decade, 16 million new housing units will be needed to meet population growth and shifting demands, according to Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies in its latest annual "State of the Nation's Housing" report.

That means household growth, which has dropped drastically in recent years, will need to greatly reverse its trend to meet the forecasted spike in demand. From 2007-2010, household growth averaged about 500,000 per year--less than half the 1.2 million annual pace averaged prior from 2000-2007.

To absorb the current rate of foreclosed and distressed homes plaguing most markets, a more normal rate of household formation is critical, according to the report. However, household growth partially has stalled as young adults have delayed home ownership and immigration has slowed.

As such, in recent years, builders have drastically cut production of new homes.

"With inventories of new homes at historic lows, a turnaround in demand could quickly result in tighter markets," the report notes. "Over the longer term, the number of younger households is set to rise sharply, supporting growth in the population that fuels growth in both new renters and first-time buyers. The path of the economy and evolution of the mortgage market will determine when and if this increased demand materializes."

The report predicts a need for greater housing units for several reasons. For example, the report projects demand for 1 million new homes a year is needed to meet population growth in the coming decade. The report also predicts a surge in smaller homes, estimating that 3.8 million baby boomers will be looking to downsize their homes within the next decade. Also in adding to the increase in housing units needed, Immigration growth, the need to replace existing homes, and demand for second homes will contribute to rising demand, the report notes. Therefore, researchers conclude at least 16 million new housing units will be needed over the next decade.

Source: “Harvard: Real Estate Recovery Hinges on Return of Demand,” Inman News (June 6, 2011)

Monday, May 02, 2011

Bailing on Mortgage Not a Good Idea

An estimated 11 million home owners owe more on their mortgage than their property is currently worth. That’s made more home owners consider walking away from their mortgage and home ownership, even those who can still comfortably afford to make their payments (known as “strategic default”).

Walking away from a mortgage usually results in either a short sale or foreclosure. So what are the consequences of walking away? There may be far more consequences than what most home owners ever considered.

The consequences include everything from badly affected credit to potential tax consequences and deficiency risks. There are even possible professional implications, Justin McHood with Academy Mortgage in Chandler, Ariz., warns in an article at Zillow.com.

Home owners' credit scores will be badly hit regardless of whether they attempt a short sale or have their property foreclosed on. (See How Missed Mortgage Payments Hurt Credit Scores)

There also could be the potential for deficiency risks when walking away from a home, which largely varies from state to state. (View anti-deficiency laws by state.) In some states, lenders may sue you for the difference between what you owe and what your short-sale or foreclosure proceeds are, McHood notes.

Home owners considering walking away also should weigh the potential difficulty they may face from moving too. For example, if moving into a rental property, they’ll have to convince a landlord to rent to them after they have the red flag of missed mortgage payments on their credit record. And paying for moving expenses — which many walkaways fail to consider — can quickly add up too.

Plus, home owners may find professional consequences from walking away from a mortgage, as the number of employers eyeing employees’ credit profiles continues to grow.

Source: “The Consequence of Walking Away,” Zillow.com (April 27, 2011)

Tuesday, March 22, 2011

Buyers Ready to Snatch Bargains This Spring

Bargain prices on housing combined with low interest rates below 5 percent may bring the real estate market its busiest spring season in years, economists say.

Distressed sales continue to put downward pressure on home prices, which may lure more buyers off the fence and ready to snag a deal during the typical prime-time buying season.

Some builders are ramping up discounts on new homes as well as boosting commissions to brokers to try to spark more transactions.

Sellers of existing-homes also are getting more competitive in pricing their homes.

"After three years of the housing downturn, people are becoming much more realistic in terms of valuing their homes," says Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of REALTORS®.

An improved job market with better income potential may also motivate more people to buy, says David Berson of the PMI Group.

“Household formations are also very important," Berson says. "Kids may have moved back in with their parents, or two people may have moved in together, because of job concerns. Now they can move into their own place."

While interest rates are sitting comfortably below 5 percent for now (30-year fixed rates averaged 4.76 percent last week), economists warn the attractive low rates won’t last long.

"Few think mortgage rates are going lower," says Mark Zandi, Moody's Analytics chief economist. "It's more likely they will be 6 percent than 4 percent next spring. This lights a fire under buyers."

Source: “Discounts Expected in Spring Housing Market,” The Wall Street Journal (March 22, 2011)

Wednesday, March 02, 2011

Sellers Need to Get Practical About Price

Sellers whose homes have lingered on the market for months--or years, in some cases--are banking on this spring to turn the tide.

Foreclosures and short sales are still flooding the market, which means many sellers are still up against big inventories and some big bargains that may pull away buyers.

As such, more real estate pros say it’s time to have tough conversations with sellers about slashing their sales price of their home, particularly if it hasn’t garnered any traffic in recent months or years. After all, spring usually brings out more buyers, as home shoppers look to buy and move before the next school year.

"We have had a problem with sellers who are nostalgic for the way it was," says Ron Phipps, a Warwick, R.I., real estate professional and the president of the National Association of REALTORS®. He says what home owners could fetch for their home during the housing boom is not practical today. "You have to be where the market is, not where it was," Phipps says.

Phipps suggests encouraging sellers to check out the competition by visiting open houses or viewing online virtual tours of similar homes for sale to see how the seller’s house compares in price and appearance.

"You have to be very realistic about what is keeping your home from selling," Phipps says. "Sometimes it may actually be the person in the mirror, if your expectations are not realistic. Ultimately, there is a price at which all things sell."

Source: “Longtime Listings Try Again in Spring,” Associated Press (March 1, 2011)

Friday, February 25, 2011

Top 10 New Kitchen Trends in 2010

More and more homeowners are remodeling and making the most of their space with these top 10 hot trends in the kitchen.

1. Kitchens are now featuring a “family room” feel with more seating and dining areas.

2. The most popular color choice for cabinets was white. It works well with almost any architectural style – traditional to contemporary.

3. Stainless steel appliances are still a big hit, especially the fingerprint-resistant steel finish.

4. More and more kitchens are featuring custom additions such as pizza-making stations, coffee bars and wine-tasting nooks.

5. Walk-in pantries are popular for families and allow for ample storage of surplus items and bulk purchase like paper towels and canned goods.

6. Tech-savvy kitchens are featuring more electronics, like wall-mounted televisions and built-in sound systems.

7.Eco-friendly kitchens boost water-conserving faucets, energy start appliances and eco-friend cabinetry.

8. Built-in appliances that look more like cabinets are popping up across the country.

9. Lighting can convert from well-lit workspace to dimly lit formal dinner with the flip of a switch. Recessed lighting combined with chandeliers will do the trick.

10. A save-and-splurge mentality helps keep remodelers on budget. Choose to splurge on appliances instead of countertops or a built-in wine rack instead of a porcelain sink.

Thursday, January 27, 2011

Fed to Keep Buying Bonds

Citing the slow pace of economic recovery and persistently high unemployment, the Federal Reserve on Jan. 26 unanimously decided to move forward with plans to purchase up to $600 billion in long-term Treasury bonds.

The central bank also reaffirmed its intent to keep short-term interests rates near zero for "an extended period." According to futures markets, investors believe the Fed will begin raising rates in the early part of next year.

Source: “Unanimous Fed Keeps Buying Bonds,” The Wall Street Journal, Sudeep Reddy (01/27/11)

Wednesday, January 05, 2011

'Secret' Way to Lower Mortgage Payments

Home owners can trim their monthly payments by recasting or re-amortizing their loan without having to refinance... click link to learn more...

Monday, January 03, 2011

Welcoming in 2011 with advice...

This will be an interesting year in Real Estate. If you plan on selling, I recommend you get your home on the market as soon as possible. I believe the banks will step up the forclosure process and many more listings will show up in February. The LA Times confirmed my feelings over the weekend. See it here

Also, interest rates are inching up. The higher they go the smaller the pool of buyer available and qualified. Call me to discuss in detail. Jack McSweeney / RE/MAX Execs 310 346-0391

Monday, November 22, 2010

New Listing with a unbelievable view!


Beautiful custom home in Rancho Palos Verdes for sale. Built in 1992, this home is single level, 2421 sq.ft, 3 bedroom and 2 full baths. It has a very open floor plan. Call me to arrange an appointment to see in person.
Not on the (waiver) MLS. Call Jack at RE/MAX Palos Verdes.

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

July Existing-Home Sales Fall, But Prices Rise

Existing-home sales were sharply lower in July following expiration of the home buyer tax credit but home prices continued to gain, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

Existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops, dropped 27.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.83 million units in July from a downwardly revised 5.26 million in June, and are 25.5 percent below the 5.14 million-unit level in July 2009. Sales are at the lowest level since the total existing-home sales series launched in 1999, and single family sales – accounting for the bulk of transactions – are at the lowest level since May of 1995.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said a soft sales pace likely will continue for a few additional months. “Consumers rationally jumped into the market before the deadline for the home buyer tax credit expired. Since May, after the deadline, contract signings have been notably lower and a pause period for home sales is likely to last through September,” he said. “However, given the rock-bottom mortgage interest rates and historically high housing affordability conditions, the pace of a sales recovery could pick up quickly, provided the economy consistently adds jobs.

“Even with sales pausing for a few months, annual sales are expected to reach 5 million in 2010 because of healthy activity in the first half of the year. To place in perspective, annual sales averaged 4.9 million in the past 20 years, and 4.4 million over the past 30 years,” Yun added.

Mortgage Rates Dip
According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage fell to a record low 4.56 percent in July from 4.74 percent in June; the rate was 5.22 percent in July 2009. Last week, Freddie Mac reported the 30-year fixed was down to 4.42 percent.

The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $182,600 in July, up 0.7 percent from a year ago. Distressed home sales are unchanged from June, accounting for 32 percent of transactions in July; they were 31 percent in July 2009.

“Thanks to the home buyer tax credit, home values have been stable for the past 18 months despite heavy job losses,” Yun said. “Over the short term, high supply in relation to demand clearly favors buyers. However, given that home values are back in line relative to income, and from very low new-home construction, there is not likely to be any measurable change in home prices going forward.”

Inventory Rises
Total housing inventory at the end of July increased 2.5 percent to 3.98 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 12.5-month supply at the current sales pace, up from an 8.9-month supply in June. Raw unsold inventory is still 12.9 percent below the record of 4.58 million in July 2008.

NAR President Vicki Cox Golder said there are great opportunities now for buyers who weren’t able to take advantage of the tax credit. “Mortgage interest rates are at record lows, home prices have firmed and there is good selection of property in most areas, so buyers with good jobs and favorable credit ratings find themselves in a fortunate position,” she said.

A parallel NAR practitioner survey shows first-time buyers purchased 38 percent of homes in July, down from 43 percent in June. Investors accounted for 19 percent of sales in July, up from 13 percent in June; the balance were to repeat buyers. All-cash sales rose to 30 percent in July from 24 percent in June.

Breakdown of the Numbers
• Single-family home sales dropped 27.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.37 million in July from a pace of 4.62 million in June, and are 25.6 percent below the 4.53 million level in July 2009; they were the lowest since May 1995 when the sales rate was 3.34 million.
• The median existing single-family home price was $183,400 in July, which is 0.9 percent above a year ago.
• Single-family median existing-home prices were higher in 11 out of 19 metropolitan statistical areas reported in July in comparison with July 2009 (the price in one of 20 tracked markets was not available). However, existing single-family home sales fell in all 20 areas from a year ago.
• Existing condominium and co-op sales fell 28.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 460,000 in July from 640,000 in June, and are 24.0 percent below the 605,000-unit level in July 2009. The median existing condo price was $176,800 in July, down 1.7 percent from a year ago.

By Region
• Existing-home sales in the Northeast dropped 29.5 percent to an annual pace of 620,000 in July and are 30.3 percent lower than a year ago. The median price in the Northeast was $263,800, up 4.8 percent from July 2009.
• Existing-home sales in the Midwest fell 35.0 percent in July to a level of 800,000 and are 33.3 percent below July 2009. The median price in the Midwest was $151,600, down 2.8 percent from a year ago.
• In the South, existing-home sales dropped 22.6 percent to an annual pace of 1.54 million in July and are 19.8 percent below a year ago. The median price in the South was $156,300, down 3.3 percent from July 2009.
• Existing-home sales in the West fell 25.0 percent to an annual level of 870,000 in July and are 23.0 percent below a year ago. The median price in the West was $224,800, up 3.3 percent from July 2009.

Source: NAR

Thursday, August 19, 2010

Three Reasons to Buy a Home Now

Stocks are up 50 percent from the March 2009 bottom. Some commodities have risen dramatically. The only asset class left in the cellar is real estate, says Michael Murphy, editor of the New World Investor stock newsletter.

As a result, Murphy is advising investors to buy now for these three reasons:

• Desperate sellers: Both home owners and lenders are eager to unload a flood of foreclosed and underwater properties. Buyers with the patience to push through these complex deals can save a bundle.

• Little competition. Because most people don’t have what it takes to negotiate their way through short sales and REOs, patient investors are winners.

• Low rates. Mortgage rates are at their lowest level in 40 years. If you believe inflation is inevitable, lock in now.

Source: MarketWatch, Michael Murphy (08/19/2010)

Tuesday, August 03, 2010

Need an Experienced Agent??

If you are looking to buy or sell real estate in Redondo Beach or anywhere in So. California, give me a call. I am with RE/MAX Palos Verdes Execs, the company with the most market share in the whole South Bay area from San Pedro to Beverly Hills! I have over 22 years of experience and can save you money. I have many references. Sellers: Please google my name: Jack McSweeney, and see the exposure I can get you on the internet. If you are a buyer, I hear about properties not on the MLS all the time or you can see properties on the MLS at http://SoBayCalMLS.com . Also see my main webpage at http://JackMcSweeney.com . I am here to help you. Call me now at 310 346-0391, if I don't answer, I will return your call within 15 minutes. EXPERIENCE... It works Everytime!

Thursday, June 17, 2010

Senate Extends Tax Credit Closing Deadline

The U.S. Senate voted Wednesday to extend the home buyer tax credit closing deadline to Sept. 30, giving an estimated 180,000 buyers who met the contract deadline of April 30 extra time to close the transaction.

The extension was added to a bill to pay for jobless benefits.

The NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® estimates that one-third of qualified applicants have been notified that they will be unable to close by the deadline. The Mortgage Bankers Association says delays are caused largely by the volume of transactions.

The measure still must be approved by the House.

Source: Associated Press

Friday, May 21, 2010

Has your real estate market stabilized?


No matter where you live, sign up and find out what things are selling for in your area! It will then email you once a month and keep you up on all sales and listings!

Thursday, March 25, 2010

Governor Expected to Sign Homebuyer Tax Credit

On Monday, the legislature passed AB 183 (Caballero & Ashburn) which would provide $200 million for homebuyer tax credits. The Governor is expected to sign AB 183 into law before the end of the week. C.A.R. supported this important legislation.

AB 183, formerly SB 4 of the sixth extraordinary session (Ashburn), is part of a package of four bills, passed at the request of the Governor, designed to help stimulate the economy and create jobs. The bill allocates $100 million for qualified first time home buyers of existing homes and $100 million for purchasers of new, or previously unoccupied, homes. The eligible taxpayer who closes escrow on a qualified principal residence between May 1, 2010 and December, 31, 2010, or who closes escrow on a qualified principal residence on and after December 31, 2010 and before August 1, 2011, pursuant to an enforceable contract executed on or before December 31, 2010, will be able to take the allowed tax credit. This credit is equal to the lesser of 5% of the purchase price or $10,000, taken in equal installments over three consecutive years. Under AB 183 purchasers will be required to live in the home as their principal residence for at least two years or forfeit the credit (i.e. repay it to the state).

Friday, February 19, 2010

For Sale: Classic Hollywood Riviera Spanish Home

Your chance to own one of the original Spanish homes in the Hollywood Riviera section of Torrance. 4 BR, 2.5 baths (Jack and Jill) 2259 sf on a 6300 sf lot. $1.300,000
Open House Sunday, Feb. 21, 2010 1-4pm. Should sell quickly. Jack McSweeney / Agent REMAX Palos Verdes Realty 310 346-391

Monday, February 08, 2010

Don't wait to buy if you like low interest rates...

We have had low interest rates for a long time. It looks like that is about to change so don't wait! It is time to buy now.

Click the link to see the full "Inman" article.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Highest apartment vacancy rate in 23-years

Not only has the current economy affected homeowners who can no longer afford their mortgages, in California it has also been a huge issue for Landlords and tenants. This week it was reported that apartment vacancies rose to the highest point in 23-years. This comes as a surprise to many professionals because a lot of landlords have been lowering rent, to make it more affordable for tenants to stay in their current units or to get new ones into the vacant units. Many of the vacancies sit for rent, for weeks, even months until a potential renter comes in to even consider it. The increase of vacancies has slowly been happening since about 2007.

It’s a chain reaction in this industry. Tenants are becoming unemployed, because employers can no longer afford to keep them, in turn having to forfeit their leases or negotiate less of a rent each month. When a landlord loses a tenant, the lose money. When a vacant unit just sits, that’s money out the door everyday, that they can be using toward the mortgage on the building. For investors (landlords) who hold income property, when they are able to occupy the vacant units, the landlords are most likely taking a lot less than market value or holding certain move-in specials, in some cases giving these units away for free, just to get them occupied.

Experts have said that vacancy rates have risen for the past 3 quarters since 2007 and are expected to raise to 8 percent by the fourth quarter of this year, not good news for landlords. It could be good news for the tenants who cannot afford high rental costs though. A lot of the experts have said that this could have been prevented, if landlords would have done their homework and lowered rents before the downfall occurred.

The fact that landlords are being forced to lower rent, is causing a lot of these buildings to go into default, then causing more financial trouble for the landlord. In most cases, these buildings and the income that comes from them, is the owners livelihood.

One bedroom and single apartments are being said to be sitting for the longest. Because of the increase in job loss, people can no longer afford to live alone and are being forced to get a roommate or move in with family. When speaking with a local On-Site manager, she mentioned that 2 one-bedroom apartments, that share common wall, had been sitting for months. Prospects were interested, but couldn’t rent the units because of the limit that is put on how many tenants can live in a one-bedroom, turning the prospective tenant away to find something else, that suits their needs. She had even suggested to the landlord to knock the wall out making it a two-bedroom, in turn making it more appealing and easier to rent in today’s market.

Experts have also said that until the current unemployment rate goes down drastically, that the vacancy rate will continue to be on the rise. Most do not see that happening in the near future. Without steady income, one cannot afford to rent.

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger approved seven new mortgage laws

AB 260 by Assemblyman Ted Lieu (D-Torrance). The measure, which takes effect Jan. 1, tightens restrictions on mortgage brokers so they cannot steer borrowers to riskier, higher-interest loans when they qualify for less-expensive ones.
* SB 36, by Sen. Ron Calderon (D-Montebello), sets licensing requirements for all residential loan originators.
* SB 239, by Sen. Fran Pavley (D-Agoura Hills), makes it a felony to commit fraud on a mortgage loan application.
* AB 329, by Assemblyman Mike Feuer (D-Los Angeles), requires lenders to give more and clearer information to those interested in reverse mortgages, which let seniors borrow against their homes' equity.
* SB 237, by Calderon, creates a registration program for appraisal management firms.* AB 957, by Assemblywoman Cathleen Galgiani (D-Stockton), allows buyers of foreclosed homes to choose local escrow officers, rather than being forced to use the escrow company chosen by the seller.
* AB 1160, by Assemblyman Paul Fong (D-Cupertino), requires that mortgage loan documents be written in the same language the verbal negotiations were conducted in.